中亞貿易成長逾兩成:哈薩克與烏茲別克引領區域經貿動能
Central Asian Trade Grows by Over 20%: Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan Lead Regional Economic Momentum
2026年上半年中亞貿易額顯著成長25.4%,哈薩克與烏茲別克貢獻區域出口逾八成。同時,臺灣駐紐西蘭代表歐江安強調,臺灣在綠色科技與氣候變遷領域的經驗,對全球氣候治理具有不可或缺的貢獻價值。
In the first half of 2026, Central Asian trade volume saw a significant growth of 25.4%, with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan contributing over 80% of the region's exports. Meanwhile, Taiwan’s Representative to New Zealand, Joanne Ou, emphasized that Taiwan’s experience in green technology and climate change provides an indispensable contribution to global climate governance.
2026年全球地緣經濟與氣候治理議題持續演變,中亞地區作為能源與貿易樞紐,其經濟表現備受關注。根據最新資料顯示,中亞五國在2026年1月至7月期間,區域貿易總額呈現強勁成長態勢,漲幅達到25.4%。其中,哈薩克與烏茲別克作為區域內兩大核心經濟體,其出口表現佔據了區域總出口量的80%以上,顯示該地區在國際供應鏈中的地位正逐步提升。
As global geo-economic and climate governance issues continue to evolve in 2026, Central Asia, serving as an energy and trade hub, has drawn significant attention for its economic performance. According to the latest data, the five Central Asian countries experienced a robust growth trend in total regional trade between January and July 2026, with an increase of 25.4%. Among them, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, as the two core economies in the region, accounted for over 80% of the total regional export volume, indicating that the region's status in the international supply chain is gradually rising.
與此同時,在國際外交與氣候治理領域,臺灣駐紐西蘭代表歐江安於9月24日出席「留臺校友會-臺灣之夜」活動時,針對氣候變遷挑戰提出觀點,強調臺灣在綠色能源與氣候韌性方面的技術優勢,並呼籲國際社會支援臺灣參與「聯合國氣候變化綱要公約」(UNFCCC)體系,以落實全球氣候合作。
Simultaneously, in the realms of international diplomacy and climate governance, Taiwan’s Representative to New Zealand, Joanne Ou, attended the "Taiwan Alumni Association - Taiwan Night" event on September 24. Addressing the challenges of climate change, she highlighted Taiwan’s technological advantages in green energy and climate resilience, and called on the international community to support Taiwan’s participation in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) system to implement global climate cooperation.
多項公開資料與外交公開宣告共同確認了中亞地區的經濟活躍度與臺灣在國際氣候議題上的立場。根據貿易統計,哈薩克與烏茲別克在2026年的貿易表現不僅展現了區域內部的整合力,也反映出外部市場對中亞資源與商品的龐大需求。與此同時,歐江安大使在紐西蘭的公開發言,明確將臺灣的綠色科技優勢與全球氣候變遷挑戰連結,指出臺灣在再生能源與氣候韌性方面的實務經驗,是國際社會應對氣候危機時不可或缺的資源。
Multiple public data sources and diplomatic declarations have confirmed both the economic vitality of the Central Asian region and Taiwan’s stance on international climate issues. According to trade statistics, the 2026 trade performance of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan not only demonstrates regional integration but also reflects the massive demand from external markets for Central Asian resources and commodities. Meanwhile, Ambassador Joanne Ou’s public remarks in New Zealand clearly linked Taiwan’s green technology advantages to global climate change challenges, pointing out that Taiwan’s practical experience in renewable energy and climate resilience is an indispensable resource for the international community in addressing the climate crisis.
兩者雖分別屬於經濟資料與外交政策範疇,但均指向了2026年國際社會在能源轉型與區域合作上的共同趨勢。
Although these two topics belong to the distinct categories of economic data and foreign policy, both point to a shared trend in the international community regarding energy transition and regional cooperation in 2026.
然而,現有資訊在細節層面仍存在差異,且部分資訊尚待進一步釐清。關於中亞貿易成長的資料,來源僅指出總體成長率與兩國的出口佔比,但未詳細說明該成長是主要來自於化石能源出口的價格波動,抑或是製造業與服務業的實質增長,這對於評估中亞經濟結構轉型的成效至關重要。
However, there are still discrepancies in the details of the existing information, and some aspects remain to be clarified. Regarding the data on Central Asian trade growth, the sources only indicate the overall growth rate and the export share of the two countries, without specifying whether this growth is primarily driven by price fluctuations in fossil fuel exports or by substantial growth in the manufacturing and service sectors, which is crucial for assessing the effectiveness of Central Asia's economic structural transformation.
此外,關於臺灣參與聯合國體系的呼籲,雖然歐江安大使明確指出臺灣在氣候變遷貢獻上的潛力,但針對該倡議在紐西蘭各界的具體回應,以及國際社會對臺灣參與UNFCCC的具體實踐路徑,目前尚無明確的政策進展或國際共識,相關議題仍處於外交倡議與爭取支援的階段。
Furthermore, regarding the call for Taiwan’s participation in the UN system, although Ambassador Joanne Ou clearly pointed out Taiwan’s potential contribution to climate change, there is currently no clear policy progress or international consensus regarding the specific responses from various sectors in New Zealand or the concrete implementation path for Taiwan’s participation in the UNFCCC. Related issues remain in the stage of diplomatic advocacy and seeking support.
中亞地區的貿易成長對相關產業與政策制定帶來了具體影響。對於有意拓展中亞市場的企業而言,哈薩克與烏茲別克已成為進入該區域的首選門戶。市場分析建議,企業不應僅憑政策熱度盲目投入,而應採取更為穩健的策略,例如針對單一國家進行為期90日的試點計畫,以取得實際的付款證據與市場回饋,降低跨國經營的風險。此類商業決策框架的出現,反映了中亞市場在開放過程中,企業對於法規透明度與商業誠信的迫切需求。
The trade growth in Central Asia has brought concrete impacts on relevant industries and policy-making. For companies intending to expand into the Central Asian market, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have become the preferred gateways for entering the region. Market analysis suggests that companies should not blindly invest based on policy hype but should adopt more prudent strategies, such as conducting 90-day pilot projects in a single country to obtain actual payment evidence and market feedback, thereby reducing the risks of cross-border operations. The emergence of such business decision-making frameworks reflects the urgent need for regulatory transparency and business integrity as the Central Asian market opens up.
同時,臺灣在氣候治理上的呼籲,若能獲得國際支援,將有助於臺灣綠色能源產業鏈與中亞等新興市場進行技術交流,進而推動跨國氣候合作。
At the same time, if Taiwan’s call for climate governance receives international support, it will help facilitate technical exchanges between Taiwan’s green energy industry chain and emerging markets like Central Asia, thereby promoting transnational climate cooperation.
儘管中亞市場呈現成長趨勢,且臺灣在綠色科技領域具備實力,但各界不應過度解讀相關資訊。首先,中亞市場的商業環境仍存在諸多不確定性,包括地緣政治風險、物流基礎設施的完善程度,以及各國法規的銜接問題,企業在執行試點計畫時仍需面對嚴峻的在地化挑戰。其次,關於臺灣參與國際組織的努力,雖然在外交層面持續爭取,但受到聯合國大會第2758號決議等複雜國際政治因素的制約,短期內實現實質參與仍面臨極高的外交門檻。
Despite the growth trend in the Central Asian market and Taiwan’s strength in green technology, all parties should avoid over-interpreting the relevant information. First, the business environment in Central Asia still faces many uncertainties, including geopolitical risks, the level of maturity of logistics infrastructure, and issues with the alignment of national regulations; companies still face severe localization challenges when executing pilot projects. Second, regarding efforts for Taiwan’s participation in international organizations, although Taiwan continues to strive at the diplomatic level, it faces extremely high diplomatic thresholds for achieving substantive participation in the short term due to complex international political factors such as UN General Assembly Resolution 2758.
因此,將氣候變遷議題與國際參與連結,更多是體現臺灣在國際責任上的態度,而非即刻能轉化為國際組織席位的具體籌碼。
Therefore, linking climate change issues with international participation is more of a reflection of Taiwan’s attitude toward international responsibility, rather than a concrete bargaining chip that can be immediately converted into a seat in international organizations.
後續觀察重點應聚焦於中亞地區的貿易成長是否具有持續性,以及哈薩克與烏茲別克在能源轉型政策上的具體作為。若中亞國家能將出口獲利轉化為綠色能源建設的資金,將為全球氣候治理提供新的合作契機。此外,國際社會針對臺灣參與氣候公約的態度變化,以及臺灣綠色科技產業在國際市場的實際落地案例,將是觀察臺灣國際空間與氣候外交成效的重要指標。建議相關單位持續追蹤中亞各國的產業政策調整,並密切關注國際氣候會議中,關於非國家行為者與觀察員參與機制的新動態。
Future observations should focus on whether the trade growth in the Central Asian region is sustainable, as well as the specific actions taken by Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan regarding energy transition policies. If Central Asian countries can convert export profits into funding for green energy infrastructure, it will provide new opportunities for cooperation in global climate governance. In addition, changes in the international community’s attitude toward Taiwan’s participation in climate conventions, as well as actual cases of Taiwan’s green technology industry landing in international markets, will be important indicators for observing Taiwan’s international space and the effectiveness of its climate diplomacy. It is recommended that relevant units continue to track the industrial policy adjustments of Central Asian countries and closely monitor new developments regarding participation mechanisms for non-state actors and observers at international climate conferences.